Boca Juniors
2 - 0
Sarmiento

Vasquez (25'), Fabra (47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Boca Juniors and Sarmiento.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 15.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.23%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	Sarmiento
60.48%	24.31%	15.21%

Both teams to score 39.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.74%

59.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.33%

79.67%

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.51%

19.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.63%

51.37%

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.22%

50.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.81%

85.19%

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 60.48%

Sarmiento 15.21%

Draw 24.3%

Boca Juniors	Draw	Sarmiento
1-0 @ 16.18% 2-0 @ 13.23% 2-1 @ 8.97% 3-0 @ 7.21% 3-1 @ 4.89% 4-0 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.66% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.43% Total : 60.48%	1-1 @ 10.96% 0-0 @ 9.9% 2-2 @ 3.04% Other @ 0.4% Total : 24.3%	0-1 @ 6.71% 1-2 @ 3.72% 0-2 @ 2.27% Other @ 2.52% Total : 15.21%