Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 2-1 (7.46%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 0-1 (12.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arsenal Sarandi in this match.