Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
