Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Colon had a probability of 22.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
