Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
