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Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 14, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadio Sant'Elia

Cagliari
3 - 1
Pisa

Marin (28'), Caracciolo (36' og.), Deiola (45+3')
Zappa (51'), Marin (84')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Masucci (67')
Toure (82')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Cagliari and Pisa.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Pisa win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawPisa
41.46%24.31%34.22%
Both teams to score 59.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.2%42.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.79%65.21%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22%20.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57%53.42%
Pisa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.51%24.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.06%58.94%
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 41.46%
    Pisa 34.22%
    Draw 24.3%
CagliariDrawPisa
2-1 @ 8.84%
1-0 @ 7.99%
2-0 @ 6.28%
3-1 @ 4.63%
3-0 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 3.26%
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 41.46%
1-1 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 6.22%
0-0 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 7.91%
0-1 @ 7.16%
0-2 @ 5.04%
1-3 @ 3.71%
2-3 @ 2.92%
0-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.22%

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