Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Pisa win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
