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Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 9, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ciro Vigorito
CL

Benevento
1 - 3
Cagliari

Lapadula (16')
Schiattarella (10'), Tello (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lykogiannis (1'), Pavoletti (64'), Pedro (90+3')
Pavoletti (13'), Deiola (58')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Benevento win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
BeneventoDrawCagliari
34.42%26.16%39.41%
Both teams to score 53.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95%51.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09%72.9%
Benevento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7%28.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98%64.02%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.58%25.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.76%60.24%
Score Analysis
    Benevento 34.42%
    Cagliari 39.41%
    Draw 26.15%
BeneventoDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 9.08%
2-1 @ 7.85%
2-0 @ 5.73%
3-1 @ 3.3%
3-0 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.42%
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 7.19%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 9.85%
1-2 @ 8.52%
0-2 @ 6.75%
1-3 @ 3.89%
0-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 39.41%

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