MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 21:19:28
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Thursday, March 28
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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Sant'Elia
GL

Cagliari
0 - 1
Genoa


Carboni (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shomurodov (15')
Behrami (51'), Melegoni (64'), Strootman (90+4')
Behrami (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
CagliariDrawGenoa
43.62%25.46%30.92%
Both teams to score 54.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.97%49.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.89%71.11%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.58%22.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.05%55.94%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.43%29.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.4%65.6%
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 43.62%
    Genoa 30.92%
    Draw 25.45%
CagliariDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 9.91%
2-1 @ 9.03%
2-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 43.62%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 6.63%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 8.08%
1-2 @ 7.36%
0-2 @ 4.92%
1-3 @ 2.99%
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 2%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.92%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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