Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 15.03%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.