Coppa Italia | Preliminary Round
Aug 4, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bortolussi (73')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia Preliminary Round clash between Cesena and Calcio Padova.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Calcio Padova win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cesena would win this match.
| Result |
| Cesena | Draw | Calcio Padova |
47.73% ( 0.02) | 24.76% ( -0.03) | 27.51% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.79% ( 0.11) |
| 52.14% ( 0.14) | 47.86% ( -0.14) |
| 29.96% ( 0.13) | 70.04% ( -0.12) |
| 79.9% ( 0.06) | 20.1% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.64% ( 0.1) | 52.36% ( -0.1) |
| 68.57% ( 0.08) | 31.43% ( -0.08) |
