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Coppa Italia | Fourth Round
Nov 26, 2020 at 4pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
GL

Sampdoria
1 - 3
Genoa

Verre (18')
Silva (26'), Yoshida (26'), Leris (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Scamacca (60', 72'), Lerager (68')
Zapata (13'), Sturaro (43'), Pellegrini (69'), Scamacca (75')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia Fourth Round clash between Sampdoria and Genoa.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
SampdoriaDrawGenoa
44.26%25.27%30.46%
Both teams to score 55.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.57%48.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43%70.56%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14%21.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.9%55.1%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41%29.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.38%65.62%
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 44.27%
    Genoa 30.46%
    Draw 25.27%
SampdoriaDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 9.83%
2-1 @ 9.11%
2-0 @ 7.48%
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 44.27%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.47%
2-2 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 7.88%
1-2 @ 7.29%
0-2 @ 4.8%
1-3 @ 2.96%
2-3 @ 2.25%
0-3 @ 1.95%
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 30.46%


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