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CL
Serie A | Gameweek 7
Nov 7, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio Sant'Elia
SL

Cagliari
2 - 0
Sampdoria

Pedro (48' pen.), Nandez (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tonelli (64'), Silva (83')
Augello (40')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawSampdoria
40.88%24.94%34.18%
Both teams to score 57.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.26%45.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.94%68.06%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69%22.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.22%55.78%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1%25.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.11%60.89%
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 40.88%
    Sampdoria 34.18%
    Draw 24.94%
CagliariDrawSampdoria
2-1 @ 8.78%
1-0 @ 8.67%
2-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 4.39%
3-0 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.22%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 40.88%
1-1 @ 11.71%
2-2 @ 5.93%
0-0 @ 5.78%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.94%
1-2 @ 7.91%
0-1 @ 7.81%
0-2 @ 5.27%
1-3 @ 3.56%
2-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.2%
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 34.18%


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