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FL
Serie A | Gameweek 3
Oct 2, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
SL

Fiorentina
1 - 2
Sampdoria

Vlahovic (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Quagliarella (42' pen.), Verre (83')
Thorsby (25'), Tonelli (70'), Ekdal (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawSampdoria
58.14%22.53%19.33%
Both teams to score 52.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.37%46.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.1%68.9%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.26%15.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.16%44.84%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.87%38.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.11%74.89%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 58.13%
    Sampdoria 19.33%
    Draw 22.52%
FiorentinaDrawSampdoria
1-0 @ 11.09%
2-0 @ 10.25%
2-1 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 6.32%
3-1 @ 6.1%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-0 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 2.82%
4-2 @ 1.36%
5-0 @ 1.08%
5-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 58.13%
1-1 @ 10.69%
0-0 @ 6%
2-2 @ 4.77%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.52%
0-1 @ 5.79%
1-2 @ 5.16%
0-2 @ 2.79%
1-3 @ 1.66%
2-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 19.33%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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