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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Oct 24, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
IL

Genoa
0 - 2
Inter Milan


Bani (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lukaku (64'), D'Ambrosio (79')
Martinez (40')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 65.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 15.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Genoa win it was 2-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Inter Milan in this match.

Result
GenoaDrawInter Milan
15.47%18.93%65.59%
Both teams to score 56.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.98%37.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.79%59.21%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.14%36.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36%73.64%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.45%10.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.71%34.29%
Score Analysis
    Genoa 15.48%
    Inter Milan 65.59%
    Draw 18.93%
GenoaDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 4.36%
1-0 @ 3.88%
2-0 @ 1.94%
3-2 @ 1.63%
3-1 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 15.48%
1-1 @ 8.73%
2-2 @ 4.9%
0-0 @ 3.89%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 18.93%
0-2 @ 9.84%
1-2 @ 9.82%
0-1 @ 8.75%
0-3 @ 7.37%
1-3 @ 7.36%
0-4 @ 4.15%
1-4 @ 4.14%
2-3 @ 3.67%
2-4 @ 2.07%
0-5 @ 1.86%
1-5 @ 1.86%
2-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 65.59%


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