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SL
Serie A | Gameweek 4
Oct 17, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
LL

Sampdoria
3 - 0
Lazio

Quagliarella (32'), Augello (41'), Damsgaard (74')
Ramirez (43'), Thorsby (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Parolo (12'), Caicedo (44')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
SampdoriaDrawLazio
25.93%24.04%50.03%
Both teams to score 55.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.09%45.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.78%68.22%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37%31.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.96%68.03%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59%18.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.44%49.55%
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 25.93%
    Lazio 50.03%
    Draw 24.04%
SampdoriaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 6.7%
2-1 @ 6.53%
2-0 @ 3.86%
3-1 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 2.12%
3-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 25.93%
1-1 @ 11.34%
0-0 @ 5.82%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 9.85%
1-2 @ 9.6%
0-2 @ 8.34%
1-3 @ 5.42%
0-3 @ 4.7%
2-3 @ 3.12%
1-4 @ 2.29%
0-4 @ 1.99%
2-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 50.03%


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