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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Nov 4, 2020 at 4pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
TL

Genoa
1 - 2
Torino

Scamacca (90+4')
Badelj (31'), Rovella (51')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lukic (10'), Pellegrini (26' og.)
Gojak (23'), Rincon (45+3'), Singo (68'), Lukic (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Torino had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawTorino
40.06%25.65%34.3%
Both teams to score 55.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.15%48.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.05%70.95%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91%24.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.61%58.39%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.69%27.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.24%62.76%
Score Analysis
    Genoa 40.06%
    Torino 34.3%
    Draw 25.64%
GenoaDrawTorino
1-0 @ 9.37%
2-1 @ 8.65%
2-0 @ 6.67%
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-0 @ 3.16%
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.13%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 40.06%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 6.58%
2-2 @ 5.61%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 8.54%
1-2 @ 7.89%
0-2 @ 5.54%
1-3 @ 3.41%
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 2.4%
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 34.3%


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