SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Mauritius had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Mauritius win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lesotho in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lesotho | Draw | Mauritius |
46.13% ( 0.02) | 24.4% ( -0) | 29.47% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.37% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.9% ( 0.01) | 45.1% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.56% ( 0.01) | 67.44% ( -0.01) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% ( 0.01) | 19.67% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.35% ( 0.02) | 51.65% ( -0.02) |
| Mauritius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.41% ( -0.01) | 28.59% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.62% ( -0.01) | 64.38% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lesotho | Draw | Mauritius |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 46.13% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.47% |
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