SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Comoros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Comoros | Draw | Lesotho |
45.96% ( 0.03) | 22.89% ( -0.01) | 31.15% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.76% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.88% ( 0.06) | 37.12% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.69% ( 0.06) | 59.32% ( -0.06) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.41% ( 0.03) | 16.59% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.6% ( 0.06) | 46.4% ( -0.05) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.45% ( 0.02) | 23.55% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.39% ( 0.03) | 57.61% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Comoros | Draw | Lesotho |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% 1-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.77% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 4.42% Total : 45.96% | 1-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.89% | 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.15% |
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