SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 63.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Mauritius had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.89%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Mauritius win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eswatini would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mauritius | Draw | Eswatini |
15.77% ( -0.24) | 20.57% ( -0.54) | 63.65% ( 0.77) |
| Both teams to score 51.39% ( 1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.95% ( 1.92) | 44.05% ( -1.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.57% ( 1.84) | 66.43% ( -1.84) |
| Mauritius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.18% ( 0.86) | 40.82% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.6% ( 0.76) | 77.39% ( -0.76) |
| Eswatini Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.84% ( 0.84) | 13.16% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.15% ( 1.67) | 39.85% ( -1.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mauritius | Draw | Eswatini |
| 1-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.8% Total : 15.77% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.46)2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.12)Other @ 1% Total : 20.57% | 0-2 @ 11.04% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.58)1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 7.47% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 6.69% ( 0.22)0-4 @ 3.79% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 3.39% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 3% ( 0.17)0-5 @ 1.54% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.13)1-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.05% Total : 63.64% |
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