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COSAFA Cup | Third-Place Playoff
Jul 18, 2021 at 11am UK
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
MN

Eswatini
1 - 1
Mozambique

Mozambique win 4-2 on penalties
Martinho (39')
Candinho (70'), Muze (80'), Shaquille (88')
FT
(aet)
Mkhontfo (89')
Magagula (42')
Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Third-Place Playoff clash between Eswatini and Mozambique.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 51.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 22.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (8.19%).

Result
EswatiniDrawMozambique
51.37%26.19%22.45%
Both teams to score 45.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.68%57.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.85%78.15%
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.59%22.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.07%55.93%
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.98%41.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.42%77.58%
Score Analysis
    Eswatini 51.36%
    Mozambique 22.45%
    Draw 26.18%
EswatiniDrawMozambique
1-0 @ 13.75%
2-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 9.16%
3-0 @ 5.13%
3-1 @ 4.57%
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 51.36%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 9.2%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 8.19%
1-2 @ 5.46%
0-2 @ 3.65%
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.21%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 22.45%

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