Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 49.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 22.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Eswatini win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.