Eswatini are unbeaten in their last five games on home turf, so we expect them to put up a good fight. Burkina Faso, on the other hand, boast a more experienced crop of players, and we are backing a draw in this one with honours even at the sound of the full-time whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Burkina Faso win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
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