SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seychelles win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seychelles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Comoros win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Seychelles | Draw | Comoros |
40.02% ( -0.02) | 24.25% ( -0.01) | 35.73% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.37% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.78% ( 0.05) | 42.22% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.37% ( 0.05) | 64.63% ( -0.05) |
| Seychelles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% ( 0.01) | 21.2% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.91% ( 0.02) | 54.09% ( -0.02) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( 0.04) | 23.38% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.64% ( 0.06) | 57.36% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Seychelles | Draw | Comoros |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 40.02% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 35.73% |
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