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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 7, 2022 at 5pm UK
National Heroes Stadium
CN

Zambia
2 - 1
Comoros

Mwepu (45+2'), Kangwa (88')
Mwape (2'), Mayembe (67'), Kangwa (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fardou Ben (13')
M'Dahoma (40'), Zahary (45'), Mohamed (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Zambia 2-1 Comoros
Tuesday, June 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Zambia vs. Lesotho
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Six:
Last Game: Zambia 2-1 Comoros
Tuesday, June 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Ivory Coast vs. Comoros
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21

We said: Zambia 2-1 Comoros

Having suffered defeat in their opening fixture, the onus is more on Zambia to take control of proceedings and grab the game by the scruff of its neck. We are tipping them to come out on top, albeit by only a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Comoros win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Zambia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Zambia.

Result
ZambiaDrawComoros
39.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 26.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 34.17% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 52.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.1% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)51.89% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.35% (-0.02 -0.02)73.64% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.22% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)25.78% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.27% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)60.72% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Comoros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)28.87% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)64.74% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Zambia 39.47%
    Comoros 34.17%
    Draw 26.35%
ZambiaDrawComoros
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 39.47%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.44% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 34.17%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ivory Coast 3-1 Zambia
Friday, June 3 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Zambia 1-2 Benin
Sunday, March 27 at 11am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Zambia 3-1 Congo
Friday, March 25 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Iraq 3-1 Zambia
Friday, March 18 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Tunisia 3-1 Zambia
Tuesday, November 16 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Zambia 4-0 Mauritania
Saturday, November 13 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Comoros 2-0 Lesotho
Friday, June 3 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Comoros 2-1 Ethiopia
Friday, March 25 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Cameroon 2-1 Comoros
Monday, January 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Ghana 2-3 Comoros
Tuesday, January 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Morocco 2-0 Comoros
Friday, January 14 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Comoros 0-1 Gabon
Monday, January 10 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations


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