SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zambia | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Namibia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Uganda | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Comoros win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Zambia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Zambia.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Comoros |
39.48% ( -0.01) | 26.35% ( 0.01) | 34.17% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 52.79% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.1% ( -0.02) | 51.89% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.35% ( -0.02) | 73.64% ( 0.02) |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.22% ( -0.01) | 25.78% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.27% ( -0.02) | 60.72% ( 0.02) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.13% ( -0.01) | 28.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.26% ( -0.01) | 64.74% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zambia | Draw | Comoros |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 39.47% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.74% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0)1-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.17% |
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