SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Angola | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Comoros win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angola would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angola | Draw | Comoros |
42.56% ( 0.01) | 27.26% ( 0) | 30.18% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.7% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.48% ( -0.02) | 56.52% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.49% ( -0.02) | 77.51% ( 0.02) |
| Angola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.74% ( -0) | 26.26% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.62% ( -0.01) | 61.37% ( 0.01) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.05% ( -0.02) | 33.95% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.37% ( -0.02) | 70.63% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Angola | Draw | Comoros |
| 1-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.13% Total : 42.56% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 9.63% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.2% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 30.18% |
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