SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gabon | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Botswana had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Botswana win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Comoros | Draw | Botswana |
44.48% ( -0.02) | 25.07% ( 0.01) | 30.45% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.67% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.43% ( -0.04) | 47.57% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.22% ( -0.04) | 69.77% ( 0.03) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.6% ( -0.03) | 21.4% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.6% ( -0.04) | 54.4% ( 0.03) |
| Botswana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.84% ( -0.02) | 29.16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.9% ( -0.02) | 65.1% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Comoros | Draw | Botswana |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 44.48% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0)1-3 @ 3% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.45% |
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