Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 52.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
