Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Bordeaux had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Bordeaux win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
0.17) 
-0.42) 
