Lille are coming into this clash after a five-star performance against Troyes, and their fans will be expecting a similar scoreline when they face Ligue 2 opposition this Sunday.
Pau will be relishing the opportunity to compete with one of France's elite clubs this weekend but face an almighty task in keeping the score down - let alone progressing into the last 16.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 69.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Pau had a probability of 11.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.
-0.06) 
0.08) 
