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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stade Gabriel Montpied
L

Clermont
0 - 2
Lille


Gastien (5'), Seidu (33'), Caufriez (45+2')
Caufriez (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gomes (68' pen.), Bayo (90+4')
Andre (31'), Cabella (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Clermont
Saturday, November 12 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Angers
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Clermont 1-2 Lille

The Clermont backline have often looked a little unhinged when under pressure, and they can expect to face their share of that against an aggressive unit in Lille who have some quality in the attacking third and can make their scoring chances count. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
ClermontDrawLille
19.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 22.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 57.26% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.15% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.9% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)47.1% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Clermont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.22% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)37.77% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)74.55% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.8% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)16.2% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.31% (-0.012 -0.01)45.69% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Clermont 19.92%
    Lille 57.24%
    Draw 22.82%
ClermontDrawLille
1-0 @ 5.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 5.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 2.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 19.92%
1-1 @ 10.84%
0-0 @ 6.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.82%
0-1 @ 11.13%
0-2 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-3 @ 6.15% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 5.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.92%
0-4 @ 2.8% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 57.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Clermont
Saturday, November 12 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Montpellier
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-1 Clermont
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-3 Brest
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 1-1 Clermont
Sunday, October 16 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 2-1 Auxerre
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Angers
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, November 6 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Lille
Sunday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 4-3 Monaco
Sunday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-3 Lille
Friday, October 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Lens
Sunday, October 9 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1


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