SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Lille had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Lille win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Rennes |
36.81% ( 0.19) | 24.91% ( -0.22) | 38.28% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.07% ( 0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.75% ( 1.02) | 45.25% ( -1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.41% ( 0.97) | 67.59% ( -0.97) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% ( 0.57) | 24.18% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.49% ( 0.81) | 58.51% ( -0.8) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% ( 0.48) | 23.4% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.61% ( 0.69) | 57.39% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Rennes |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.97% Total : 36.81% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.91% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 38.28% |
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