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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
A

Lille
1 - 0
Angers

Djalo (36')
Gomes (62'), Fonte (65'), Martin (90+4')
Balepa (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Capelle (45')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, November 6 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-2 Lens
Saturday, November 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 3-0 Angers

While Angers have been relatively competitive against strong sides in their recent defeats, we cannot look past a rampant Lille side to record a convincing victory here. Having played all the teams in and around them, an upcoming run against inferior opposition provides a great opportunity for Fonseca's men to keep the pressure on the top four, and we expect them to start that run with a bang. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Angers had a probability of 15.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
LilleDrawAngers
62.91% (0.114 0.11) 21.28% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 15.8% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 49.16% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.94% (0.039999999999999 0.04)47.06% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.7% (0.038 0.04)69.3% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.66% (0.048000000000002 0.05)14.34% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.81% (0.094000000000001 0.09)42.19% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Angers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.4% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)42.6% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.04% (-0.061 -0.06)78.95% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lille 62.9%
    Angers 15.8%
    Draw 21.28%
LilleDrawAngers
1-0 @ 11.86%
2-0 @ 11.52% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 7.46% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.62% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 62.9%
1-1 @ 10.12% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 21.28%
0-1 @ 5.21% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.32% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 15.8%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, November 6 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Lille
Sunday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 4-3 Monaco
Sunday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-3 Lille
Friday, October 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Lens
Sunday, October 9 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Lille
Sunday, October 2 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-2 Lens
Saturday, November 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-0 Angers
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-2 Rennes
Sunday, October 23 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 3-2 Angers
Sunday, October 16 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 2-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 0-3 Marseille
Friday, September 30 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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