Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pau would win this match.
0.78) 
-0.85) 
