Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 77.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Saumur had a probability of 6.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.13%) and 0-3 (12.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for a Saumur win it was 1-0 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
