Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.