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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Sep 13, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion Chemnitz
HL

Chemnitzer
2 - 2
Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim win 3-2 on penalties
Freiberger (59'), Bickel (100')
Kurt (90'), Bickel (101'), Schimmel (110'), Grym (117')
FT
(aet)
Kramaric (48', 111' pen.)
Posch (64'), Geiger (70')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Chemnitzer and Hoffenheim.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Chemnitzer had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Chemnitzer win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%).

Result
ChemnitzerDrawHoffenheim
27.16%23.74%49.1%
Both teams to score 57.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.4%43.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.01%65.99%
Chemnitzer Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.53%29.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.53%65.47%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12%17.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.34%48.66%
Score Analysis
    Chemnitzer 27.16%
    Hoffenheim 49.1%
    Draw 23.73%
ChemnitzerDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 6.77%
1-0 @ 6.44%
2-0 @ 3.93%
3-1 @ 2.76%
3-2 @ 2.37%
3-0 @ 1.6%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 27.16%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 5.83%
0-0 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 9.54%
0-1 @ 9.07%
0-2 @ 7.81%
1-3 @ 5.47%
0-3 @ 4.48%
2-3 @ 3.35%
1-4 @ 2.36%
0-4 @ 1.93%
2-4 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 49.1%


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