Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.