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HL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
Jun 20, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
PreZero Arena
UB

Hoffenheim
4 - 0
Union Berlin

Bebou (11'), Kramaric (39'), Dabour (45+2'), Baumgartner (68')
Dabour (41')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Friedrich (21'), Andrich (30'), Andersson (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawUnion Berlin
41.86%24.08%34.06%
Both teams to score 60.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.27%41.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.86%64.13%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.86%20.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.58%52.42%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.92%24.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.64%58.36%
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 41.86%
    Union Berlin 34.06%
    Draw 24.07%
HoffenheimDrawUnion Berlin
2-1 @ 8.87%
1-0 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 6.23%
3-1 @ 4.74%
3-2 @ 3.37%
3-0 @ 3.33%
4-1 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 41.86%
1-1 @ 11.06%
2-2 @ 6.31%
0-0 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-1 @ 6.91%
0-2 @ 4.92%
1-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 3%
0-3 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 34.06%


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