Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 67.65%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Kaan-Marienborn had a probability of 14.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.6%) and 1-3 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Kaan-Marienborn win it was 2-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.