Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Schalke 04 in this match.
