Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 51.51%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Nuremberg
51.51%	22.78%	25.71%

Both teams to score 59.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.61%

40.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.24%

62.76%

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.2%

15.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.04%

44.96%

Nuremberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.14%

28.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.27%

64.73%

Score Analysis

St Pauli 51.51%

Nuremberg 25.71%

Draw 22.77%

St Pauli	Draw	Nuremberg
2-1 @ 9.65% 1-0 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 5.93% 3-0 @ 4.78% 3-2 @ 3.69% 4-1 @ 2.74% 4-0 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 1.7% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.64% Total : 51.51%	1-1 @ 10.45% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 4.56% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.77%	1-2 @ 6.5% 0-1 @ 5.67% 0-2 @ 3.52% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.39% Total : 25.71%