Nuremberg's new-look attack will be tested to the limit against Arsenal here, even if Arteta's side are far from full strength, and both managers are sure to shuffle the pack considerably as the game goes on.
Arsenal were in free-scoring mode against Ipswich and have added another dimension to their attack with the arrival of Jesus, so we can only back the Gunners to cruise to a routine win on Friday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
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