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KL
DFB-Pokal | Last 16
Jan 18, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
HL

FC Koln
1 - 1
Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV win 4-3 on penalties
Modeste (120+1' pen.)
Hector (43'), Schindler (76'), Hubers (82')
FT
(aet)
Glatzel (92')
Reis (90'), Walter (105'), Schonlau (120')

We say: FC Koln 2-0 Hamburger SV

With Koln able to fully focus on this cup tie without any concerns over fitness issues and fixture congestion in the league, we expect them to put out a strong side and look to progress in the cup on Tuesday. As a result, they should possess too much quality for their second-tier opponents in this one, although with both sides being defensively organised, we would not expect too many goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.06%) and 0-2 (5.24%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%).

Result
FC KolnDrawHamburger SV
36.39%22.79%40.82%
Both teams to score 66.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.08%34.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.1%56.9%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.26%19.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.24%51.77%
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25%17.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.56%48.44%
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 36.39%
    Hamburger SV 40.82%
    Draw 22.79%
FC KolnDrawHamburger SV
2-1 @ 7.97%
1-0 @ 5.69%
2-0 @ 4.61%
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 3.73%
3-0 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 36.39%
1-1 @ 9.83%
2-2 @ 6.89%
0-0 @ 3.5%
3-3 @ 2.15%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.79%
1-2 @ 8.5%
0-1 @ 6.06%
0-2 @ 5.24%
1-3 @ 4.9%
2-3 @ 3.97%
0-3 @ 3.02%
1-4 @ 2.12%
2-4 @ 1.72%
0-4 @ 1.3%
3-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 40.82%

Read more!
Read more!


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