We said: Hertha Berlin 1-1 FC Koln
These sides are very evenly matched on paper, as well as in terms of league position, so as a result we are predicting a tight draw on Sunday.
Were Koln at home then we would expect them to come out victorious, but their stuttering away form means that Hertha should pick up a result at the Olympiastadion.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
