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PL
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 19, 2022 at 5pm UK
Benteler-Arena
WB

SC Paderborn
2 - 2
Werder Bremen

SC Paderborn win 5-4 on penalties
Platte (22'), Conteh (42')
Pieringer (85'), Rohr (90'), Heuer (114')
FT
(aet)
Bittencourt (65'), Weiser (84')
Weiser (68'), Schmidt (95'), Fullkrug (104')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: SC Paderborn 3-0 SV Sandhausen
Sunday, October 16 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-2 Mainz
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We say: SC Paderborn 2-3 Werder Bremen

Paderborn have been excellent this season and will really be tested by a side in the division above in a game that could go either way. It is certainly a potential banana skin for Werder, who will perhaps hope they are not taken all the way to extra time and penalties in a game which looks like it could go the distance on paper. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%).

Result
SC PaderbornDrawWerder Bremen
45.58% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 22.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 31.93% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 65.71% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.27% (0.045000000000002 0.05)34.73% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.31% (0.050000000000004 0.05)56.69% (-0.052 -0.05)
SC Paderborn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (0.046999999999997 0.05)15.81% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.02% (0.088000000000001 0.09)44.98% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.05% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)21.94% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.77% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)55.23% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Score Analysis
    SC Paderborn 45.58%
    Werder Bremen 31.93%
    Draw 22.49%
SC PaderbornDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-0 @ 6.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.17% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.54% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.92% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 45.58%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.79%
0-0 @ 3.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.11% (0.0029999999999997 0)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.49%
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.26% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.012999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 31.93%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: SC Paderborn 3-0 SV Sandhausen
Sunday, October 16 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Hansa Rostock 0-3 SC Paderborn
Saturday, October 8 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: SC Paderborn 1-2 SV Darmstadt 98
Friday, September 30 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Greuther Furth 2-1 SC Paderborn
Sunday, September 18 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: SC Paderborn 3-0 Jahn
Saturday, September 10 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: SC Paderborn 1-0 Magdeburg
Saturday, September 3 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-2 Mainz
Saturday, October 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Werder Bremen
Friday, October 7 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 5-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, October 1 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-1 Augsburg
Friday, September 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, September 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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