Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
1.29) 
-0.03) 
