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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
44.94% ( -0.49) | 23.19% ( 0.09) | 31.86% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 63.02% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.75% ( -0.25) | 38.24% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.47% ( -0.27) | 60.52% ( 0.26) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.57% ( -0.29) | 17.42% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.12% ( -0.51) | 47.87% ( 0.5) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.31% ( 0.11) | 23.68% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.2% ( 0.16) | 57.79% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.03% Total : 44.94% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.86% |
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