Leverkusen have looked more confident in recent matches, and we expect their attacking firepower to prove too much for Bremen to handle.
The visitors should cause problems themselves with their front two always carrying significant threat, but they have looked vulnerable defensively this season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 51.63%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
1.13) 
-0.15) 
