Sandhausen will hope to see their opponents make as many selection changes as Alonso is likely to, as this will clearly improve their chances of producing a shock result against Leverkusen.
However, the visitors have decent squad depth to call upon, with Schick possessing enough quality on his own to dispose of a third division team. Alonso's side are building momentum and we expect them to make it 13 wins from 14 games in all competitions for the campaign.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 58.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for SV Sandhausen had a probability of 20.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a SV Sandhausen win it was 2-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
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