SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 57.76%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 21.35% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 1-0 (7.84%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | FC Koln |
57.76% ( -0.69) | 20.89% ( 0.3) | 21.35% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 61.08% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.64% ( -0.94) | 36.36% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.51% ( -1.04) | 58.49% ( 1.03) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.55% ( -0.49) | 12.45% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.6% ( -1.03) | 38.39% ( 1.03) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.76% ( -0.2) | 30.23% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.6% ( -0.24) | 66.4% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.15% Total : 57.76% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.89% | 1-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.9% Total : 21.35% |
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